Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.921324 1.051320 1.192925 1.358615 1.547170 1.755080 2.001759
2025-02-16 0.722102 0.900202 1.111615 1.381027 1.715278 2.116492 2.634993
2025-02-23 0.590941 0.783880 1.027129 1.356231 1.790001 2.342523 3.100563
2025-03-02 0.504892 0.704651 0.969221 1.345127 1.865697 2.561725 3.564425
2025-03-09 0.445503 0.649771 0.932115 1.350656 1.955617 2.799130 4.066727
2025-03-16 0.398260 0.604264 0.900109 1.355648 2.039807 3.030226 4.575910
2025-03-23 0.361628 0.568851 0.877028 1.368320 2.132448 3.277173 5.126358
2025-03-30 0.320952 0.522092 0.831091 1.339838 2.157244 3.421323 5.529722
2025-04-06 0.286484 0.480905 0.788803 1.311285 2.176681 3.555368 5.924829
2025-04-13 0.253703 0.438727 0.740286 1.266831 2.164378 3.635006 6.234976
2025-04-20 0.246883 0.439037 0.760791 1.337884 2.348517 4.048691 7.135389
2025-04-27 0.239210 0.436896 0.776557 1.401571 2.524677 4.462175 8.069951
2025-05-04 0.229229 0.430052 0.784160 1.452751 2.685652 4.866957 9.033350
2025-05-11 0.215737 0.415493 0.776750 1.476207 2.799028 5.197832 9.894824
2025-05-18 0.196727 0.388611 0.744229 1.449714 2.816913 5.355939 10.448162
2025-05-25 0.181671 0.367746 0.720819 1.437849 2.860470 5.563656 11.111685
2025-06-01 0.170297 0.352929 0.707423 1.443757 2.938106 5.840891 11.932352
2025-06-08 0.159905 0.339041 0.694481 1.449091 3.014475 6.120885 12.781382
2025-06-15 0.151294 0.327965 0.686072 1.462631 3.108155 6.441900 13.740413
2025-06-22 0.139062 0.308053 0.657821 1.432198 3.107580 6.571239 14.310385
2025-06-29 0.127959 0.289510 0.630754 1.401688 3.103761 6.692681 14.872555
2025-07-06 0.116381 0.268817 0.597285 1.354186 3.058735 6.722869 15.237976
2025-07-13 0.116012 0.273320 0.618800 1.430110 3.292136 7.369237 17.021543